Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.036484 0.039716 0.042970 0.046485 0.050168 0.053907 0.057985
2025-11-16 0.031054 0.035800 0.040735 0.046226 0.052142 0.058303 0.065183
2025-11-23 0.027977 0.033931 0.040298 0.047562 0.055565 0.064065 0.073730
2025-11-30 0.025367 0.032254 0.039813 0.048625 0.058524 0.069214 0.081549
2025-12-07 0.022980 0.030574 0.039111 0.049267 0.060871 0.073587 0.088446
2025-12-14 0.020679 0.028774 0.038094 0.049391 0.062507 0.077068 0.094276
2025-12-21 0.019284 0.027914 0.038054 0.050545 0.065237 0.081724 0.101383
2025-12-28 0.017055 0.025860 0.036453 0.049739 0.065595 0.083595 0.105266
2026-01-04 0.015600 0.024658 0.035785 0.049959 0.067083 0.086709 0.110526
2026-01-11 0.014534 0.023870 0.035557 0.050651 0.069082 0.090382 0.116405
2026-01-18 0.013536 0.023096 0.035287 0.051242 0.070921 0.093840 0.122016
2026-01-25 0.011680 0.021030 0.033263 0.049561 0.069935 0.093905 0.123613
2026-02-01 0.010436 0.019748 0.032219 0.049097 0.070443 0.095775 0.127386
2026-02-08 0.009385 0.018665 0.031380 0.048852 0.071191 0.097916 0.131476
2026-02-15 0.009003 0.018540 0.031815 0.050244 0.073979 0.102524 0.138518
2026-02-22 0.008555 0.018280 0.032042 0.051350 0.076400 0.106688 0.145038
2026-03-01 0.008000 0.017813 0.031953 0.052016 0.078252 0.110153 0.150723
2026-03-08 0.007326 0.017103 0.031483 0.052146 0.079400 0.112744 0.155345
2026-03-15 0.007017 0.016963 0.031812 0.053339 0.081907 0.117008 0.162000
2026-03-22 0.006166 0.015848 0.030679 0.052506 0.081768 0.117976 0.164636
2026-03-29 0.005667 0.015294 0.030337 0.052734 0.082988 0.120622 0.169310
2026-04-05 0.005329 0.014995 0.030358 0.053450 0.084837 0.124048 0.174937
2026-04-12 0.004989 0.014665 0.030312 0.054060 0.086540 0.127288 0.180339